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Simulation analysis of the prediction model for tourist number in tourist season

机译:旅游季节旅游号码预测模型的仿真分析

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The investigation is about accurately predicting the tourist number in tourist season. Factors that affecting people's travel demand is currently more and more, and the impact on the tourist number in tourist season is increasingly complex. The traditional prediction models of tourist number in tourist season are mostly static model, with the property weight of to each determine factors are relatively fixed, cannot be flexible changed. But these attributes influence the final number of visitors differently, which led to the traditional model is difficult to form an accurate judgment. In order to avoid these shortcomings, the analysis method based on big data presented in the tourist number prediction in tourist season. Relevant data are collected, to make pre-processing, including data cleaning, data transformation and data integration. Based on the theory of support vector machine, the data attributes are classified, the prediction model of number of visitors in the tourist season is established. By calculating the weight of model attribute classification results, the classification of importance degree of tourist number affected by different properties is obtained. By comparison with the parameters, the forecast results of tourist number in tourist season are obtained. The results show that using the proposed algorithm in this article, the prediction of the tourist number in tourist season can be effectively improved the accuracy, thus providing an accurate basis for decision-making tourism industry and promoting the development of tourism industry more healthy, rapid and sustainable.
机译:调查是关于准确预测旅游季节的旅游人数。影响人们旅行需求的因素目前越来越多地,旅游季节对旅游人数的影响越来越复杂。旅游季节的旅游号码的传统预测模型大多是静态模型,随着每个确定因素的财产重量相对固定,不能灵活改变。但是,这些属性影响游客的最终数目不同,这就导致了传统模式难以形成准确的判断。为了避免这些缺点,基于旅游季节旅游数预测中的大数据的分析方法。收集相关数据,以进行预处理,包括数据清洁,数据转换和数据集成。基于支持向量机的理论,数据属性被分类,建立了旅游季节中游客数量的预测模型。通过计算模型属性分类结果的重量,获得了受不同特性影响的旅游号码的重要性程度。通过比较参数,获得旅游季节旅游号码的预测结果。结果表明,使用本文中的算法,旅游季节旅游人数的预测可以有效提高准确性,从而为决策旅游业提供准确的基础,促进旅游业发展更健康,快速和可持续的。

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