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Testing for the validity of purchasing power parity theory both in the long-run and the short-run for ASEAN-5

机译:在长期和短期内购买电力奇偶校验理论的有效性测试,即东盟-5的短期

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The purchasing power parity theory says that the trade rates among two nations ought to be equivalent to the proportion of the total price levels between the two nations. For more than a decade, there has been substantial interest in testing for the validity of the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) empirically. This paper performs a series of tests to see if PPP is valid for ASEAN-5 nations for the period of 2000-2016 using monthly data. For this purpose, we conducted four different tests of stationarity, two cointegration tests (Pedroni and Westerlund), and also the VAR model. The stationarity (unit root) tests reveal that the variables are not stationary at levels however stationary at first difference. Cointegration test results did not reject the H_0 of no cointegration implying the absence long-run association among the variables and results of the VAR model did not reveal a strong short-run relationship. Based on the data, we, therefore, conclude that PPP is not valid in long-and short-run for ASEAN-5 during 2000-2016.
机译:采购权力平价理论表示,两国的贸易率应该相当于两国总价格水平的比例。十多年来,对经验上的购买力平价(PPP)的有效性有很大的兴趣。本文执行一系列测试,看看PPP是否适用于使用每月数据的2000-2016期间的ASEAN-5国家。为此目的,我们进行了四种不同的实向性,两个协整测试(Pedroni和Westerlund),以及VAR模型。实质性(单位根)测试表明,变量在第一个差异静止时不静止。协整测试结果没有拒绝没有协整的H_0,这意味着缺失的长期关联在变量和var模型的结果中没有揭示强烈的短跑关系。因此,基于数据,我们得出结论,PPP在2000 - 2016年期间的ASEAN-5的长期和短期内无效。

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