Compound System Reliability Test Design Based on Bayesian Approach and Monte Carlo Method

摘要

Analyzing the current lack of reliability test design and considering the producer's risk and consumer's risk, the reliability test design model for compound system (CSRTD) based on information fusion was constructed. Analyzing the requirements and constraint conditions of reliability test design, the information fusion technology between binomial distributed subsystems and their system was presented by means of Bayesian approach and Monte Carlo method. According to posteriori risk criteria, the formulas of producer's risk and consumer's risk were deduced. The solution of computing the optimum test plan was given by Matlab software. Finally, an example of missile launching installation was given to demonstrate the validity of the model.