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The impact of urbanization on carbon emission: empirical evidence in Beijing

机译:城市化对碳排放的影响:北京的实证证据

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Based on the historical data in Beijing from 1980 to 2013, this paper uses the ARDL approach to examine the impact of urbanization on carbon emission. The results show that, first, the urbanization level plays a positive role in promoting carbon emission no matter in the long or short term during the sample period. Second, the impact of per capita energy consumption on carbon emission does not seem significant no matter in the long or short term, which is due to the energy efficiency improvement and energy consumption structure adjustment in the past decades. Third, the growth of per capita GDP may curb carbon emission growth in the long term although its impact in the short term does not appear statistically significant, and we find significant inverted U-shaped relationship between per capita GDP and per capita carbon emission in Beijing during the sample period. Finally, there exists significant negative adjusting mechanism from the short term towards the long term among these variables.
机译:根据北京历史数据从1980年到2013年,本文采用了ARDL方法来检验城市化对碳排放的影响。结果表明,首先,城市化水平在样品期间无论在长期或短期内促进碳排放时发挥积极作用。其次,无论在长期或短期内,人均能源消耗对碳排放的影响似乎并不重要,这是由于过去几十年的能效改善和能耗结构调整。第三,人均GDP的生长可能长期抑制碳排放生长,尽管其在短期内的影响并不存在统计学意义,但我们在北京的人均GDP和人均碳排放之间发现了显着的倒U形关系在样品期间。最后,在这些变量中的短期内存在显着的负调节机制。

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