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The impact of urbanization on carbon emission: empirical evidence in Beijing

机译:城市化对碳排放的影响:北京的实证证据

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Based on the historical data in Beijing from 1980 to 2013, this paper uses the ARDL approach to examine the impact of urbanization on carbon emission. The results show that, first, the urbanization level plays a positive role in promoting carbon emission no matter in the long or short term during the sample period. Second, the impact of per capita energy consumption on carbon emission does not seem significant no matter in the long or short term, which is due to the energy efficiency improvement and energy consumption structure adjustment in the past decades. Third, the growth of per capita GDP may curb carbon emission growth in the long term although its impact in the short term does not appear statistically significant, and we find significant inverted U-shaped relationship between per capita GDP and per capita carbon emission in Beijing during the sample period. Finally, there exists significant negative adjusting mechanism from the short term towards the long term among these variables.
机译:根据北京1980年至2013年的历史数据,本文采用ARDL方法研究城市化对碳排放的影响。研究结果表明,第一,城市化水平在样本期的长期或短期不管促进碳排放的积极作用。其次,人均能源消费对碳排放的影响似乎并不显著无论从长期还是短期来看,这是由于在过去几十年的能效提高和能源消费结构的调整。第三,人均GDP的增长可能抑制在长期的碳排放量增长虽然其在短期内影响不会出现统计显著,我们发现人均GDP和按北京的人均碳排放之间显著倒U形关系在采样期间。最后,存在显著负向,从这些变量之间的长期的短期的调整机制。

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