Research on Prediction of CAAC Flight Incident 10000-Hour-Rate Based on Single Regression Model

摘要

To assist the aviation safety management and decision-making, it is important to effectively predict the flight incident 10000-hour-rate for preventing the aviation accidents. For improvement of prediction level, a simple regression model is proposed. The prediction result obtained in actual example indicates that the proposed single regression model has a good prediction on CAAC flight incident 10000-hour-rate.