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Fuzzy Evaluation Method for Project Profitability

机译:项目盈利能力的模糊评价方法

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摘要

The problem of the project management is performed with the optimization task under uncertainty and subject to real-world constraints. We use the probability theory and insufficiently proved methods, due to unavailable data indeed we need different methods for a best way to evaluate uncertainty. One of these approaches is based on the application of the fuzzy sets theory. Since its inception in 1965, the theory of fuzzy sets has advanced in a variety of ways and in many disciplines. Applications of this theory can be found, for example, in artificial intelligence, computer science, medicine, control engineering, decision theory, expert systems, logic, management science, operations research, pattern recognition, and robotics. This paper proposes a fuzzy decision making approach for project selection problem under uncertainty. An evaluation is provided as an illustration of the proposed approach. In the conclusion, we show how this method can help decision makers in the selection of appropriate project based on their profitability.
机译:项目管理的问题是在不确定性下的优化任务中进行的,并受真实的约束。我们使用概率理论和不可用的方法,由于数据不可用的确,我们需要不同的方法来评估不确定性。其中一种方法是基于模糊集理论的应用。自1965年成立以来,模糊套理论以各种方式和许多学科都有先进。该理论的应用可以找到,例如,在人工智能,计算机科学,医学,控制工程,决策理论,专家系统,逻辑,管理科学,运营研究,模式识别和机器人中。本文提出了一种不确定性项目选择问题的模糊决策方法。提供评估作为所提出的方法的说明。在结论中,我们展示了该方法如何帮助决策者根据其盈利能力选择适当的项目。

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