Scenario building on Law No. 7 of 2012 about social conflict intervention: The possible future of land conflict management in Indonesia

摘要

Many criticisms have been directed to Law No. 7 of 2012 on Social Conflict Intervention (SCIL) which was passed by the parliament in April 2012. One of the criticisms is linked to a possibility of creating state violence. This paper reveals some implementation consequences of the Law No.7 of 2012 by adopting a scenario building approach. The scenario building approach is a narrative or story that foresees a future of society, either in a positive or negative condition. In this paper, the land conflict is one of notorious conflicts in Indonesia; it becomes a main narrative issue of scenario building on Law No. 7 of 2012, particularly, the land conflict that is based on customary land issues. Therefore, this paper has its main question: how does scenario building method reveal the consequences of Law No. 7 of 2012 in the case of land conflicts? The scenario building in this paper is based on the discourse analysis of media social construction theory through the case of land conflict in Lampung Province.