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Support Vector Machine Model: A New Methodology for Stuck Pipe Prediction

机译:支持向量机模型:卡住管道预测的新方法

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Stuck pipe is a common worldwide drilling problem, resulting significant increases in non-productive time and overall well cost. Many oil and gas reservoirs are mature and are becoming increasingly depleted of hydrocarbons which make stuck pipe more severe risks. This is due to the fact that decreasing pore pressure increases the chance of stuck pipe. Minimizing the risks of stuck pipe while drilling has been the goal of many operators recently. This paper describes a robust support vector regression (SVR) methodology that offers superior performance for stuck pipe prediction either mechanically or differentially using available drilling parameters. A new model is developed using drilling parameters such as measured depth, mud weight, plastic viscosity, yield point, gel strengths, PH and solid percent from different wells. The method incorporates hybrid least square support vector regression and Coupled Simulated Annealing (CSA) optimization technique (LSSVM-CSA) for efficient tuning of SVR hyper parameters. The algorithm is applied to classify the stuck types, i.e., differential stuck or mechanical stuck. Performance analysis shows that LSSVM classifier has high accuracy. Using intelligent system would help drilling industry to reduce Non-Productive Time (NPT) during operation in complex zones.
机译:卡住管道是一个普遍的全球钻井问题,导致非生产时间和整体井的显着增加。许多石油和天然气储层成熟,越来越耗尽碳氢化合物,使陷入困境的风险更严重。这是由于降低孔隙压力增加了卡住管道的可能性。尽量减少卡住管道的风险,同时钻探最近是许多运营商的目标。本文介绍了一种稳健的支持向量回归(SVR)方法,其为卡氏预测提供了卓越的性能,可以使用可用的钻孔参数来机械地或差异。使用钻孔参数开发了一种新模型,例如测量深度,泥浆重量,塑料粘度,屈服点,凝胶强度,pH从不同孔的百分比。该方法包括混合最小二乘支持向量回归和耦合的模拟退火(CSA)优化技术(LSSVM-CSA),用于高效调谐SVR超参数。算法应用于分类卡住类型,即差分卡住或机械卡。性能分析表明,LSSVM分类器具有高精度。使用智能系统将帮助钻探行业在复杂区域操作期间减少非生产时间(NPT)。

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