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Analysis of Accident Risk Related Events and the Roles of Agents in Conflict Recognition and Resolution during a Runway Incursion Scenario

机译:跑道入侵情景中发生事故风险相关事件及代理在冲突识别和解析中的作用

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This paper extends a safety analysis based on a multi-agent dynamic risk model (DRM) of a future mix mode taxiing into position and hold (TIPH) operation. The TIPH operation aims at placing an aircraft on the mixed mode runway, ready for immediate takeoff as soon as takeoff clearance has been issued by the air traffic controller. In the previous safety analysis, accident risk results were obtained by Monte Carlo simulations of a multi-agent DRM for a particular scenario describing the conflict between an aircraft landing and an aircraft lining up while it should not. These risk assessment simulations and results obtained earlier do not provide insight into the underlying conflict detection and conflict recognition events that occur during the simulations. Therefore relevant events were defined and recorded in additional Monte Carlo simulations of the multi-agent DRM in different visibility conditions. An additional aim of the present research is an examination of the capabilities of agents to reduce the accident risk in the operation. This is studied in the DRM by placing agents out of monitoring or control loops in different visibility conditions. The results of the study make clear the extent to which each agent is able to reduce the accident risk and the complementarities between the agents' roles in controlling the accident risk.
机译:本文扩展基于未来的混合模式滑行的多代理的动态风险模型(DRM)到位并保持(希布伦临时人员)操作的安全性分析。在希布伦临时人员操作的目的是将飞机上的混合模式跑道,准备立即起飞尽快起飞许可已经被空中交通管制员发出。在前面的安全分析,事故风险结果由多剂DRM的Monte Carlo模拟用于描述飞机着陆和飞机之间的矛盾特定场景排队,同时它不应该获得的。较早获得这些风险评估的模拟和结果不提供洞察模拟过程中发生的潜在冲突检测和冲突识别事件。因此有关的事件被定义并记录在不同能见度条件下的多代理DRM的附加Monte Carlo模拟。本研究的另一个目的是代理商的功能检查,以减少操作中的事故风险。这是在DRM通过放置试剂列于不同能见度条件下监控或控制回路的影响。学习化妆的结果明确到每个代理能够减少在控制事故风险代理的角色之间的事故风险和互补性的程度。

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