Risk assessment of high-speed railway tunnel construction based on fuzzy synthetic evaluation

摘要

Because of its large scale, long cycle and complex construction, the high speed railway tunnel construction exists many uncertain risk factors which are random and fuzzy, that makes it difficult to do quantitative analysis by general research methods. A synthetic evaluation index system for tunnel construction risk of high-speed railway is established by analyzing the factors that influence high-speed railway construction, and the analytic hierarchy process is used to determine the weight of each stage factor. Based on the hierarchy of each factor, a model of three-stage fuzzy synthetic evaluation is proposed, the fuzzy sets method is used to determine membership function, and risk ranking is also classified. The proposed method is applied to a Tian jiashan Tunnel construction of Shanghai-Kunming (Hu-Kun) high-speed railway. The analysis results show that the method is reasonable and practical, and it will be taken as an example by other similar projects.