Study on method of forecast for high load of urban heating system

摘要

Because of vulnerability and hidden danger being in urban heating system inevitably, when the load of urban heating system was in peak period, it would be huge economic losses and serious negative impact once accidents occurred. The method of forecast for high load of urban heating system is studied, which is practical significance for reducing risk in urban heating system, and ensuring cities operation normally. Based on the data of heating system and correlative systems else, the method of forecast for urban heating system in peak period by association rules and uncertain reasoning. Contrasting the monitoring data of urban heating system, the method has the strong recognition ability for high load of urban heating system.