首页> 外文会议>International Conference on Advanced Mathematical and Computational Tools in Metrology and Testing >ONLY NON-INFORMATIVE BAYESIAN PRIOR DISTRIBUTIONS AGREE WITH THE GUM TYPE A EVALUATIONS OF INPUT QUANTITIES
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ONLY NON-INFORMATIVE BAYESIAN PRIOR DISTRIBUTIONS AGREE WITH THE GUM TYPE A EVALUATIONS OF INPUT QUANTITIES

机译:只有非信息性贝叶斯先前的分布达成胶型型型评估输入数量

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The Guide to the Expression of Uncertainty in Measurement (GUM) is self-consistent when Bayesian statistics is used for the Type A evaluations. We present the case that there are limitations on the kind of Bayesian statistics that can be used for the Type A evaluations of input quantities of the measurement function. The GUM recommends that the (central) measured value should be an unbiased estimate of the corresponding (true) quantity value. Also, the GUM uses the expected value of state-of-knowledge probability distributions as the (central) measured value for both the Type A and the Type B evaluations of input quantities. It turns out that the expected value of a Bayesian posterior distribution used as a Type A (central) measured value for an input quantity can be unbiased only when a non-informative prior distribution is used for that input quantity. Metrologically, this means that only the current observations without any additional information should be used to determine a Type A (central) measured value for an input quantity.
机译:当贝叶斯统计用于类型评估时,测量中的不确定性表达的指南是自我一致的。我们展示了可以用于型型函数评估的贝叶斯统计数据存在局限性的情况。胶胶建议(中央)测量值应该是对应(真实)数量值的无偏见估计。此外,胶胶使用知识状态概率分布的预期值作为(中央)测量值,用于输入数量的A型和B型评估。事证证明,仅当使用非信息现有的先前分发时,所用作输入数量的A型(中央)测量值的贝叶斯后部分布的预期值可以是不偏见的。在悲观上,这意味着只应使用没有任何附加信息的当前观察来确定输入量的类型A(中央)测量值。

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