Dynamics of Transitions in Reliability Analysis of Complex Multi-state Systems

摘要

The appropriate functional levels of multi-state systems components are placed between the two extremes: defect (0%) and the nominal (100%) state, allowing any intermediate state transiting from the range of perfect functionality to complete failure. Time analysis interval of a multi-state system is characterized by intermediate states (states of partial success). The system availability parameters are also affected by the upstream, downstream processes involved in the operating regime. Considering system ageing effect, the paper proposes a stochastic model of assessing system probability of unidirectional or bidirectional transition states, applying the non-homogeneous continuous time Markov. The capability of time-dependent method to describe a multi-state system is based on a case study, assessing the operatical situation of studied system.