Indonesia Base Oil Trends 2008 and DUBASE 'New Group III Base Oil in the Market' - (PPT)

摘要

For the last 5 years, Indonesia's economy has grown significantly as shown by the GDP growth, Per capita income, and low inflation rate. Growth in the transportation industry was very high. The volume of vehicles and motorcycles has grown significantly. IMF forecasted that Indonesia will still have a high economic growth in the next 5 years. The transportation industry will continue to grow. This paper presents the growth in lubes consumption. In line with the growth of Indonesia's economy, especially in the transportation sector, lubricant demand will also grow but not as high as that of the transportation industry. This is because the lubricant consumption is influenced not only by economic and automotive growth but also by customers' perspective regarding extended drain interval through the use of better quality lubricants. This paper will also present the 5-year forecast for API service categories, SAE viscosity grades of PCMO and HDDO as required by OEMs, fuel economy and extended drain interval. The growth of base oil demand in Indonesia including Pertamina's consumption for the next 5 years is estimated. Pertamina has two base oil refineries: the Cilacap Refinery in central Java producing Group I and II base oils, and the Dumai Refinery in Sumatera Island, a joint venture with SK Energy, which started to produce Group III base oil in May 2008. This new Group III base oil is branded as Dubase (Pertamina brand) and Yubase Plus (SK brand). The base oil trend including Group III in Indonesia for the next 5 years will be discussed. It is forecasted that the demand for Group III base oil will increase significantly due to the need for high quality base oil to meet the OEMs requirement, extended drain interval, emission regulation, and fuel economy. The claim of "Synthetic" for this base oil will also drive customer demand. The base oil supply and demand situation including Group III in Indonesia for the next 5 years will also be forecasted. In the last part, the characteristics and the performance of Dubase or Yubase Plus will be shown. This base oil has a better quality than the common Group III base oil and is claimed as one of the best quality Group III base oil in the market. In the last few years, the base oil supply and demand in the world became unbalanced because some base oil refineries have been shut down. This situation also influences the base oil supply and demand in Indonesia. The growth of base oil demand in Indonesia including Group II and Group III is influenced by the growth of Indonesia's economy, automotive industry and other industries. The requirements of long drain interval and lighter viscosity lubricants to fulfill the highest API Service Category also influence the trend in base oil requirements. Predictions of the base oil supply and demand situation in Indonesia especially for Group III will be presented. The characteristics and the performance of the new Base Oil Group III (Dubase) produced from Dumai Refinery in Sumatera Island, the joint project between Pertamina and SK Energy, will also be discussed. This base oil is claimed as one of the best quality Group III base oil.