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Market Penetration of Alternative Fuel Vehicles in Iceland: A Hybrid Modeling Approach

机译:冰岛替代燃料汽车的市场渗透:混合建模方法

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1 Introduction System dynamics (SD) and agent-based (AB) modeling are two well-known dynamic simulation approaches, which have been widely used for studying the diffusion of alternative fuel vehicles (AFVs). Comparison of SD and AB methodologies and their strengths and weaknesses have been discussed in the literature. In general, AB and SD approaches differ in two ways: the fundamental relationships among components and the level of aggregation [1]. SD is a top-down approach that looks at the process of market development as a whole and facilitates understanding the interactions of stakeholders in complex systems. AB modeling is a bottom-up approach towards a systemic analysis of complex systems. AB models can capture heterogeneity of individuals in an interconnected network, but with increased computational costs. Due to conceptual and computational limitations of each approach, several researchers have recommended using the combined form of AB and SD approaches to study the diffusion of AFVs [2–4].
机译:1引言系统动态(SD)和基于代理的(AB)建模是两个众所周知的动态模拟方法,已广泛用于研究替代燃料车辆(AFV)的扩散。文献中讨论了SD和AB方法的比较及其优势和劣势。通常,AB和SD方法以两种方式不同:组件之间的基本关系和聚集水平[1]。 SD是一种自上而下的方法,将整个市场发展过程视为整体,并促进了解利益相关者在复杂系统中的互动。 AB建模是对复杂系统的系统分析的自下而上的方法。 AB模型可以在互联网络中捕获个体的异质性,但增加计算成本。由于各种方法的概念和计算限制,几个研究人员建议使用AB和SD方法的组合形式来研究AFVS的扩散[2-4]。

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