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Identifying skilled managers: Evidence from mutual fund short sales

机译:识别熟练的管理人员:来自共同基金的证据短期销售

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In this paper, we provide a first look at the short positions established by 75 mutual funds that used short sales of US domestic stocks as an investment strategy. We document that mutual funds tend to establish short positions in the larger and more liquid stocks, likely to minimize the possibility of a short squeeze. We also find that the shorted stocks have low equity BM ratios, higher total accruals, and higher prior sales growth, and that the shorted stocks earn an abnormal return of between -3.3% and -9.1% on an annualized basis. This suggests that the fund managers are able to use valuation and financial indicators and identify stocks that do poorly. We use the portfolio holdings data and show that the mutual funds earn significant abnormal returns on both the short and the long portfolios. The average alpha for the short portfolio (using the Carhart (1997) four-factor model) ranges between 4.8% and 5.9% on an annualized basis. The corresponding abnormal return on the long portfolio ranges between 1.9% and 2.6%. Using a total net assets-matched control fund approach, the incremental alpha ranges between 2.9% to 4.1% annually. Overall, the result that mutual fund managers using short sales exhibit superior performance is consistent with the theoretical prediction (e.g., Diamond and Verrecchia (1987)) that only informed investors will sell short.
机译:在本文中,我们提供了在通过使用卖空美国国内股票作为一种投资策略75个共同基金建立了空头头寸先看看。我们的文件,共同基金倾向于建立空头头寸在更大,流动性更强的股票,可能会减少逼空的可能性。我们还发现,短路的股票具有较低的股权比例BM,较高的总应计利润和更高之前的销售增长,以及短路股票赚取之间的超额收益-3.3%和-9.1%,按年率计算。这表明,基金经理能够使用评估和财务指标,并确定做不好股票。我们使用组合持股数据显示,共同基金赚取的短期和长期的投资组合都显著的异常收益。为短组合的平均α(使用卡哈特(1997)四因子模型)4.8%和5.9%之间的范围内以年计。在长期投资组合中的相应的超额收益率范围为1.9%和2.6%之间。总共使用了净资产匹配的对照基金方法中,增量阿尔法范围每年2.9%4.1%之间。总体而言,结果是使用卖空的共同基金经理表现出优异的性能与理论预测(例如,钻石和Verrecchia的(1987)),只有消息灵通的投资者将做空一致。

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