Implications of Multi-Resolution Modeling (MRM) and Exploratory Analysis for Validation

摘要

Over the last decade, we and colleagues have done considerable theoretical and applied work involving multiresolution modeling and exploratory analysis, in part to connect the worlds of strategic planning (e.g., development of the defense guidance and defense programs) with the world of more detailed analysis (e.g., development of military forces, weapon systems, and doctrine). We have also found multiresolution work essential in attempting to model adversaries in studies of deterrence and compellence.4 Our work has not been about model validation per se, but many implications for model validation have emerged as byproducts. Our objective in this paper is to discuss some of those implications. In doing so, we draw heavily on examples from our past work.