首页> 外文会议>ASME Pressure Vessels and Piping Conference >APPLICATION OF IMPROVED KENT'S PIPELINE RISK SCORING METHOD BASED ON FUZZY MATHEMATICS IN THE RISK ASSESSMENT OF EMBEDDED PETROLEUM PIPELINE
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APPLICATION OF IMPROVED KENT'S PIPELINE RISK SCORING METHOD BASED ON FUZZY MATHEMATICS IN THE RISK ASSESSMENT OF EMBEDDED PETROLEUM PIPELINE

机译:基于模糊数学的改进肯特管道风险评分方法在嵌入式石油管道风险评估中的应用

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Numerous risk factors exit in the petroleum transmission process of embedded pipelines. Using scientific risk assessment technology to distinguish various hidden perils of pipeline accidents and the corresponding impacts is of significant value in the risk controlling of embedded petroleum pipelines and thus insure their normal operation. The common used Kent's scoring method can systematically evaluate the relative risk of pipelines, but it has some shortcomings in reflecting the impact differentiations of various influencing factors on the pipeline risk due to the identical assignment of weights for four categories of factors. In this work, we first systematically make risk identification for the embedded petroleum pipelines and further propose a kind of improved Kent's scoring method, i.e. the Multilevel Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation (MFCE) method based on the fuzzy mathematics theory, in which the fuzzification between various influencing factors are considered. Using the MFCE method, it is able to make semi-quantitative risk assessment, as well as risk classification and grading for the embedded petroleum pipeline network in a specific urban area. Finally, with the assistance of the Geographic Information System (GIS) platform, the risk evaluation results of the embedded pipelines with the MFCE method can provide scientific aid decision making basis for the early warning of risk and the emergency plan compilation for the pipeline accidents.
机译:嵌入式管道石油传输过程中众多风险因素出口。利用科学风险评估技术区分各种隐藏的管道事故,相应的影响是嵌入式石油管道风险控制中的重大价值,从而确保其正常运行。常用的肯特的评分方法可以系统地评估管道的相对风险,但由于四个类别的重量分配,反映了各种影响因素的各种影响因素的影响区分的缺点。在这项工作中,我们首先系统地对嵌入式石油管道进行风险识别,进一步提出了一种改进的肯特评分方法,即基于模糊数学理论的多级模糊综合评价(MFCE)方法,其中各种影响之间的模糊化考虑了因素。使用MFCE方法,它能够进行半定量风险评估,以及特定城市地区嵌入式石油管网的风险分类和分级。最后,随着地理信息系统(GIS)平台的协助下,与MFCE方法嵌入管道的风险评估结果可为风险的预警和对管道事故应急预案编制科学的辅助决策依据。

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