Comparison between Full-scale Measurements and Theoretical Fuel Consumption Model in a Real Arctic Ship Navigation

摘要

Due to global warming and the continuous decline of Arctic sea ice, maritime transport in the Arctic region has increased dramatically. While operating in the Arctic area, ships face regular environment loads and ice loads synchronously, the consideration of ice resistance is essential for the fuel consumption estimation in the ice-covered water voyage. In this paper, a theoretical fuel consumption model is proposed based on the empirical method for a ship sailing through the Arctic route. The results are compared with the full-scale measurements in a real Arctic ship navigation and discussed with regards to uncertainties and the prediction capacity of the fuel consumption model. The encountered sea states and ice thickness are constructed by hindcast reanalysis data and climate model projections.