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Development of a Tour-Based Truck Travel Demand Model using 1 Truck GPS Data

机译:使用1个卡车GPS数据开发基于旅游的卡车旅行需求模型

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The concept of truck travel demand forecasting, internal to a region, has always been built upon modeling discrete truck trip ends, distributing truck trip ends to various origins and destinations using travel time impedances and some land use characteristics, and allocating truck trip tables into distinct time periods using factors derived from observed counts. An innovative enhancement to this approach is to apply activity-based modeling (ABM) principles to truck tour characteristics and develop a tour-based truck travel demand model. This paper focuses on two aspects – (a) processing of truck GPS data, and (b) developing a tour-based truck model. The processing of truck GPS data is done for the MAG region to construct a truck tour database necessary for estimating tour-based models. The tour-based models include stop generation and purpose models, and time period allocation and duration models to predict the occurrence of truck stops in space and time for each industry sector. This paper also discusses the calibration and validation of these discrete choice models that are linked together to output trip chains or truck tours for different industry sectors.
机译:内部到一个地区的卡车旅行需求预测的概念一直在模拟离散卡车跳闸结束时,分配卡车行程以各种起源和目的地使用旅行时间阻抗和一些土地利用特性,并将卡车行程表分配成截然不同使用从观察到的计数的因素的时间段。对这种方法的创新增强是将基于活动的建模(ABM)原则应用于卡车旅游特征,并开发了一种基于Tourt-in Train Travel需求模型。本文侧重于三个方面 - (a)卡车GPS数据的处理,(b)开发基于旅游的卡车模型。卡车GPS数据的处理是针对Mag区域完成的,以构建估计基于旅游模型所必需的卡车旅游数据库。基于旅游的型号包括停止生成和目的模型,时间时段分配和持续时间模型预测卡车的发生在每个行业的空间和时间的停止。本文还讨论了这些离散选择模型的校准和验证,这些模型与不同行业部门一起输出跳闸链或卡车之旅。

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