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Development of a Tour-Based Truck Travel Demand Model using 1 Truck GPS Data

机译:使用1个卡车GPS数据开发基于旅游的卡车旅行需求模型

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The concept of truck travel demand forecasting, internal to a region, has always been built upon modeling discretetruck trip ends, distributing truck trip ends to various origins and destinations using travel time impedances and some land use characteristics, and allocating truck trip tables into distinct time periods using factors derived from observed counts. An innovative enhancement to this approach is to apply activity-based modeling (ABM) principles to truck tour characteristics and develop a tour-based truck travel demand model. This paper focuses on two aspects – (a) processing of truck GPS data, and (b) developing a tour-based truck model. The processing of truck GPS data is done for the MAG region to construct a truck tour database necessary for estimating tour-based models. The tour-based models include stop generation and purpose models, and time period allocation and duration models to predict the occurrence of truck stops in space and time for each industry sector. This paper also discusses the calibration and validation of these discrete choice models that are linked together to output trip chains or truck tours for different industry sectors.
机译:区域内部的卡车行驶需求预测的概念始终建立在离散模型的基础上 卡车行程结束,使用行驶时间阻抗和一些土地使用特征将卡车行程结束分配到各个起点和目的地,并使用从观察到的计数中得出的因子将卡车行程表分配到不同的时间段。此方法的创新改进是将基于活动的建模(ABM)原理应用于卡车旅行特性,并开发基于旅行的卡车旅行需求模型。 本文着重于两个方面–(a)处理卡车GPS数据,以及(b)开发基于游览的卡车模型。针对MAG区域完成了卡车GPS数据的处理,以构建估计基于旅行的模型所必需的卡车旅行数据库。基于巡回的模型包括停靠点生成和目的模型,以及时间段分配和持续时间模型,以预测每个行业部门在空间和时间上发生卡车停靠的情况。本文还讨论了这些离散选择模型的校准和验证,这些模型与不同行业的输出行程链或卡车行程链接在一起。

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