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LNG SUPPLY AND DEMAND: THE GREATER MIDDLE EAST PARADOX

机译:液化天然气供应和需求:大中东悖论

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The Middle-East and North Africa region has around 50% of the world's proven conventional natural gas reserves. Yet this region, known to be the richest in hydrocarbons will face a strange paradox: that of having a critical gas shortage albeit momentarily! The countries of the region, particularly the wealthy Arab Gulf states, have one of the fastest growing rates of energy demand. This is mainly characterized by the increasing consumption of power in the region and its seasonal volatility as well as rapid industrial growth. In fact analysts refer MENA as having 'one of the world's fastest growing rates of power demand on a percentage basis of any region'. On the other hand, with the exception of Qatar and Iran, every other country in the region is facing challenges around supply growth. Consequently, the Gap between the local demand and the local supply will increase rapidly over the next few years. Kuwait, Bahrain, Oman, and to another scale Saudi Arabia have all given signs that they need to find ways of bridging that gap! One of the ways of bridging that gap is to import Gas either via pipeline or LNG as a last resort for some and a smart alternative for others. One may think that Qatar or Iran would logically be providers of gas via pipeline for the region. Yet we are mistaken, why would they do so some argue? LNG represents probably the lowest technical and non-technical transaction costs in the energy mix.
机译:中东地区和北非地区拥有全球经过验证的常规天然气储量的50%。然而,该地区,已知是碳氢化合物中最富有的碳水化合物将面临着奇怪的悖论:暂时拥有临界气体短缺!该地区各国,特别是富有的阿拉伯海湾国家,拥有增长最快的能源需求。这主要是由于该地区的电力消耗的增加及其季节性波动以及快速的工业增长。实际上分析师将MENA推荐“世界上百分比基于任何地区的百分比增长的权力需求之一”。另一方面,除卡塔尔和伊朗外,该地区的其他所有国家都面临围绕供给增长的挑战。因此,本地需求与本地供应之间的差距将在未来几年内迅速增加。科威特,巴林,阿曼,以及沙特阿拉伯的另一个规模都有迹象表明,他们需要找到桥梁的方法!桥接这种差距的一种方式是通过管道或液化天然气将气体作为最后的替代方案为其他人来进口。人们可以认为卡塔尔或伊朗将在逻辑上是通过该地区管道的天然气的提供者。然而,我们误,为什么他们会这样做? LNG可能是能量组合中最低的技术和非技术性交易成本。

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