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Connecting physics models and diagnostic data using Bayesian Graphical Models

机译:使用贝叶斯图形模型连接物理模型和诊断数据

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With increasingly detailed physics questions to ask, and with more advanced diagnostics available, there is a strong case for trying to generalise the way analysis of diagnostic data, and connection to underlying physics models, is done in today's experiments. With current analysis chains, it is difficult, verging on impossible, to fully grasp the exact assumptions, hidden in different legacy codes, that goes into a full analysis of the main physics parameters in an experiment. We show that by using Bayesian probability theory as the underlying inference method, it is possible to generalise scientific analysis itself, and therefore build an effective and modular scientific inference software infrastructure. The Minerva framework [1,2] uses the concept of Bayesian graphical models [3] to model the full set of dependencies, functional and probabilistic, between physics assumptions and diagnostic raw data. Using a graph structure, large scale inference systems can be modularly built that optimally and automatically use data from multiple sensors. The framework, used at the JET, MAST, H1 and W7-X experiments, is exemplified by a number of JET applications, ranging from inference on the flux surface topology to profile inversions from multiple diagnostic systems.
机译:凭借越来越详细的物理问题要求,并提供更先进的诊断,有一个强有力的案例,试图概括诊断数据的方式,以及与基础物理模型的连接,在当今的实验中完成。利用当前的分析链,难以验证隐藏在不同传统代码中隐藏的确切假设的难以验证,这是完全分析实验中的主要物理参数。我们表明,通过使用贝叶斯概率理论作为底层推理方法,可以概括科学分析本身,因此构建有效和模块化的科学推理软件基础设施。 Minerva框架[1,2]使用贝叶斯图形模型的概念[3]来模拟物理假设和诊断原始数据之间的完整依赖性,功能和概率。使用图形结构,可以在最佳地和自动使用来自多个传感器的数据的大规模推理系统。在喷射器,桅杆,H1和W7-X实验中使用的框架是通过许多喷射应用来举例说明的,从磁通表面拓扑的推断范围到来自多个诊断系统的轮廓逆转。

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