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SIMULATING BANKRUPTCY - THE EFFECTS OF BAILOUTS

机译:模拟破产 - 救助的影响

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In our paper, we attempt to connect Kornai's soft budget constraint concept with the methodology used in financial option pricing. To our knowledge, this approach is unprecedented in the literature. Due to the option pricing framework, the effects of bailouts are not described as individual, socio-economic phenomena, but as statistical ones. We show how Markov chains and Monte Carlo simulation can be used in answering some questions arising in connection with hospitals' bailouts. Our results suggest that in case of more institutions, the effectiveness of the bailouts depends primary on how much the liquidity and bankruptcy processes of the hospitals are corre-lated - and not on the division of the bailouts among them.
机译:在我们的论文中,我们试图将Kornai的软预算约束概念与金融期权定价中使用的方法连接。为了我们的知识,文学中的这种方法是前所未有的。由于期权定价框架,救助人员的效果未被描述为个人,社会经济现象,而是作为统计数据。我们展示了马尔可夫链和蒙特卡罗模拟如何回答与医院的救助有关的一些问题。我们的研究结果表明,如果有更多机构,救助人员的有效性取决于医院的流动性和破产过程的初步依据是相应的 - 而不是在他们中间救助部门的划分。

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