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UNCERTAINTY MODELLING AND FATIGUE RELIABILITY CALCULATION OF OFFSHORE STRUCTURES WITH DETERIORATED MEMBERS

机译:劣化构件近海结构的不确定性建模与疲劳可靠性计算

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This paper presents formulations and procedure of an efficient calculation of stress spectra and fatigue damage of offshore structures with deteriorated members in the uncertainty space. Calculation modeling of member deteriorations is represented by equivalent spring systems, which can be determined on basis of damage detection and stiffness degradation, with a deterioration uncertainty parameter. Redistributions of the member and system stiffness matrices and the load vectors are expressed in incremental (decremental) forms. The updated system stiffness-matrix is sated in terms of stiffness- and deterioration-uncertainties and the updated system load-vector is stated in terms of deterioration- and loading-uncertainties. Using the Neumann expansion solution technique, the inversion of the updated system stiffness matrix is expressed in terms of uncertainty parameters so that the reliability iteration can be performed without requiring repetitive inversion of the stiffness matrix. The deterioration- and uncertainty-update of the stiffness matrix requires resolution of the eigenvalue problem. This problem is reformulated in terms of uncertainty variables and an efficient solution algorithm is presented. An extra uncertainty parameter is used in structural transfer functions to represent damping uncertainties. Having expressed wave forces as functions of uncertainty variables, formulations of transfer functions of displacements and member internal forces are presented in the uncertainty space, which enable the reliability calculation to be efficient and fast. Apart from uncertainties of structural and loading origins, uncertainties arising from environmental origin, which appear in the spectral-analysis, are summarized. These are related to the modeling of random waves and wave-current interactions as well as to the long-term probability-distribution model of the significant wave height. Uncertainties in SCF, damage model (S-N line), non-narrowness of the stress process, long-term probability distribution of sea states and in the damage at which failure occurs (reference damage) are considered in fatigue-related uncertainties. An example is presented to demonstrate the application of the approximate analysis procedure to the mean value response analysis of deteriorated structures.
机译:本文介绍了在不确定空间中具有劣化构件的近海结构的应力光谱和疲劳损坏的配方和程序。成员劣化的计算建模由等效的弹簧系统表示,其可以基于损坏检测和刚度降解来确定,具有劣化的不确定性参数。成员和系统刚度矩阵的再分配和负载向量以增量(递减)形式表示。更新的系统刚度矩阵在刚度和恶化 - 不确定性方面进行,并且在恶化和负载不确定性方面说明更新的系统负载载体。使用NeuMann扩展解决方案技术,在不确定参数方面表达更新的系统刚度矩阵的反转,使得可以执行可靠性迭代而不需要刚度矩阵的重复反转。刚度矩阵的恶化和不确定性更新需要解决特征值问题。在不确定变量方面,提出了该问题,并提出了一种有效的解决方案算法。额外的不确定性参数用于结构传递函数以表示阻尼的不确定性。具有表达波力作为不确定变量的功能,位移和成员内部力的传递函数的配方在不确定性空间中呈现,使得可靠性计算能够高效且快速。除了结构和装载起源的不确定性之外,总结了在光谱分析中出现的环境来源引起的不确定性。这些与随机波和波浪电流相互作用的建模以及显着波浪高度的长期概率分布模型有关。 SCF,损伤模型(S-N线),压力过程的非狭窄性,海洋长期概率分布的不确定性以及发生疲劳相关的不确定性的损失(参考损害)的损失。提出了一个例子以证明近似分析程序在劣化结构的平均值响应分析中的应用。

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