Social Assessment of Regional Energy Scenarios

摘要

The Center of Technology Assessment in Stuttgart (Germany) constructed four energy scenarios for the year 2005 and 2020 referring to the German State of Baden-Wuerttemberg. All these scenarios are based on the promise of the German government to reduce Carbon Dioxide emissions by 25 percent in the year 2005, and there is a commitment of a 45 percent reduction for the year 2020. These reduction goals can be reached only if energy conservation measures and waste energy utilization are part of the energy policy structure. This paper describes a group evaluation process of these scenarios. Major stakeholder groups such as the unions, the energy industry, public utilities and others, were asked to develop criteria for evaluating these scenarios and they use these criteria to perform a multi-attribute evaluation process.