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An Experimental Exploration of Route Choice: Identifying Drivers Choices and Choice Patterns, and Capturing Network Evolution

机译:路径选择的实验探索:识别驱动程序选择模式和选择模式,捕获网络演变

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Driver route choice is typically modeled using mathematical programming approaches that assume that drivers choose their routes to minimize some objective function, and assume that drivers have perfect, or close to perfect, knowledge of their choice set, as well as the travel characteristics associated with each of the choice elements. It is, however, well documented in human psychological behavior that human perceptions are often different from actual reality, and that humans tend to minimize their cognitive efforts, and follow simple heuristics to reach their decisions; especially under uncertainty and time constraints. With this in mind, unlike most route choice research that is primarily focused on the end result of the route choice task, this research effort traces the evolution of route choices with driving experience and network knowledge. The research presented in this paper monitors and traces actual human route choice, and demonstrates that (a) drivers' route choice evolution varies; while some drivers do not evaluate the various alternative routes others do not decide on a specific route, (b) although there appears to be possible evidence to conclude that drivers learn the network conditions by experience, it appears that drivers perceptions over estimate the benefits, (c) drivers' route choice behavior differs between different driver groups, and (d) soliciting drivers' route choice based on observing choices over a period of time with reasonable accuracy is possible.
机译:驱动器路由选择通常使用数学编程方法进行建模,假设驱动程序选择其路由以最大限度地减少某些客观函数,并假设驱动程序具有完美,或接近完美,知识,以及与每个的选择集合,以及与每个目标的知识以及与每个相关的旅行特性选择元素。然而,在人类的心理行为中,人类看法往往与实际现实不同,人类往往会尽量减少他们的认知努力,并遵循简单的启发式来达到他们的决定;特别是在不确定性和时间限制下。考虑到这一点,与大多数途径选择研究不同,主要集中在路线选择任务的最终结果,这项研究措施追溯了驾驶经验和网络知识的路线选择的演变。本文在本文监视器中提出并追踪实际的人力路线选择,并表明(a)司机的路线选择进化变化;虽然一些司机不评估其他替代路线,但其他替代路线不决定特定路线,虽然似乎有可能的证据表明司机通过经验学习网络条件,但似乎驱动程序对估计效益的司机感知似乎似乎估计估计的福利, (c)司机的路线选择行为在不同的驱动器组之间不同,(d)基于观察选择在一段时间内具有合理精度的观察选择。

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