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Long-term Trend of Summer Precipitation over China

机译:中国夏季降水的长期趋势

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The secular trend of summer precipitation totals, number of 'Rainy Days' and precipitation intensity were investigated by the use of daily rainfall datasets in China from 1961 to 2000. Summer total precipitation significantly increased in the Yangtze River basin and northwest China while the total precipitation decreased in other regions. There is a tendency toward an increase in number of 'Rainy Days' in the Yangtze River basin and northwest China, while number of 'Rainy Days' declined in Tibet, north and northeastern China. Daily precipitation totals were grouped into the 10-classes with the 10-percentile intervals. The 10-class precipitation time series were subjected to the simple linear regression analysis. Upper 20 percentile of daily precipitation totals increased with statistically significance in the Yangtze River basin and northwest China in the study period. Almost of the 10-classes of precipitation have tendency of decrease in Tibet, north and northeastern China. The total precipitation and the precipitation amount contributed by heavy precipitation increased in the Yangtze River basin and south China during 1990's. These increase of heavy precipitation event seem to be related to the enhancement of the Meiyu front activity with the westward extension of subtropical high over the western Pacific and anomalous high over the Mongolia. The frequent invasion of tropical cyclone into south China in July-August of 1990's are also contributed to the heavy precipitation event in south China.
机译:通过从1961年到2000年的日降雨数据集来调查夏季降水总量,“雨天”和降水强度的分解趋势。夏季总降水在长江盆地和西北地区的总降水中显着增加在其他地区减少。在中国西北部和西北部的“雨天”的数量增加,倾向于增加“雨天”,而西藏,北部和东北部的“雨天”数量下降。每日降水总量被分组成10级间隔。对10级降水时间序列进行了简单的线性回归分析。每日降水量的20%百分位数随着长江盆地和中国西北地区的统计学意义而增加。几乎10级沉淀具有西藏,北部和东北部的趋势。 1990年代长江盆地和华南部的重度降水量的总沉淀和降水量增加。这些重度降水事件的增加似乎与梅雨前期的增强与西太平洋西太平洋和异常高的亚热带高度的向西延伸的增强。 1990年7月,常常侵入热带旋风进入华南,也促成了华南地区的沉重降水活动。

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