Transforming Coal for Sustainability—A Strategy for China: Task Force on Energy Strategies and Technologies

摘要

In October 2002 the 16th Party Congress established the goal of expanding China's economy fourfold by 2020 and defined the Three E's strategy for Economic development, Energy security, and Environmental protection. In pursuing these goals, China's energy system cannot continue to expand using the current approach. The risks are that: 1. China will become overly dependent on oil imports as a result of the rapidly growing demand for liquid fuels, especially in the transportation sector, 2. Severe additional public health and environmental damages will occur in China with very large economic consequences (projected to grow from over 7% of GDP to 13% of GDP in 2020), and 3. Climate change impacts will become significant, and China will not be able to make its contribution to mitigating greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change.