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Long-term variations in runoff and temperature in Sweden

机译:瑞典径流和温度的长期变化

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The objective of this paper is to study long-term variations in runoff and flood frequency in Sweden. Runoff over the 20th century increased by about 4% on average, but the trend was not statistically significant. The runoff during 1981-2000 was about 8% above the century average, but runoff in the 1920s was also as high. Records from the 19th century indicate that runoff was higher then, but temperatures were lower. The combination of high temperatures and high runoff in recent years is quite different from earlier records. The increase in the average level of annual floods in northern Sweden was larger, about +10%, but problems with the reliability of older data made it difficult to conclude that the change is in fact significant. The average increase at a selection of the most reliable stations was considerably smaller.
机译:本文的目的是研究瑞典径流和洪水频率的长期变化。 20世纪径流平均增长约4%,但趋势并没有统计学意义。 1981 - 2000年的径流约为20%的平均水平,但20世纪20年代的径流也很高。 19世纪的记录表明径流较高,但温度较低。近年来高温和高径流的组合与早期记录有很大差异。瑞典北部的年度洪水平均水平的增加越大,约为+ 10%,但旧数据的可靠性问题使得难以得出的结论,这一变化实际上是显着的。选择最可靠的车站的平均增加得多。

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