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Extrapolation of the Occurrence of Mining Tremors by Application of Neural Networks

机译:神经网络应用挖掘发生挖掘的推断

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It is possible to obtain, in areas of active induced mine seismicity, within a short time interval, a sufficiently large data set of seismic and other physical parameters. These data can be used as input for multi-channel statistical extrapolation methods, which appear most suitable for the very reason that all the effects and parameters which enter in the process and affect the preparation and inception of a seismic event are not exactly known until now. Seismic and mining parameters obtained from January 1, 1994 to April 3, 1997 were used as input data for the 'application of linear extrapolation (Wiener filter) and non-linear methods (neural network). This proved that the seismic data completed by parameters of mining activities do not contain sufficient information on the development of seismic parameters within a future time interval and the prediction, from the statistical viewpoint, is on the average only by about 30% better than that obtained with the use of a primitive predictor, such as the last or average value.
机译:在短时间内,在短时间内,在短时间内的地震和其他物理参数的区域中可以获得在活动诱导的矿地震性区域。这些数据可以用作多通道统计外推方法的输入,这对于在过程中进入过程中的所有效果和参数以及影响地震事件的制备和初始的所有效果和参数均不完全知道。 1994年1月1日至1997年1月1日获得的地震和采矿参数被用作“线性外推”和非线性方法(神经网络)“应用”的输入数据。事实证明,采矿活动参数完成的地震数据不含有关在未来的时间间隔内的地震参数的发展的充分信息,从统计观点来看,平均只能比获得的更好的平均约30%使用原始预测器,例如最后或平均值。

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