Subscript-Based Geospatial Migration Dynamics

摘要

Overland immigration to and through Europe caused significant political tension within the European Union and its neighbors between 2013 and 2015. Rather than adopting a unified European approach, many countries chose to adopt independent national policies. Some of these policies further aggravated the political and humanitarian situation, and demonstrated that Europe was largely unprepared for this migration event. While migration numbers have now fallen (and new routes are developing), recent work on climate and conflict-related migration (Zinkina and Korotayev, 2014) indicates future population displacements are likely. To be better prepared for such a situation, an exploratory model that shows effects and interactions of national and continental migration and asylum policies, both temporally and spatially, may be useful.