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RELIABILITY BASED DESIGN OF SUBMARINE STRUCTURES

机译:基于潜艇结构的可靠性设计

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摘要

The paper reviews the present BS 5500 code for regulations for design of externally pressurised axi-symmetric ring stiffened cylinders and in conjunction with the available experimental data and finite element non-linear analysis results, quantities the model uncertainty factor associated with various failure modes and carries out reliability analysis. The reliability analysis includes Advanced First Order Second Moment method (AFOSM) and also checks are made with other methods such as Second Order Reliability Method (SORM), Directional Simulation and Monte Carlo Simulation to confirm the accuracy. It is found that the difference between these methods are so small that the values obtained from AFOSM are acceptable in practice. Various submarine type structures are designed according to BS 5500 having various diameters and different diving depths. Sensitivity analysis confirms the important design variables so that these variables may only be considered when establishing a design code format. The model uncertainty factor is very sensitive and its effect on various modes of failure are established. Out-of-roundness of the frame is the important control identified for careful shape measurement and analysis during construction. The effect of this parameter is established in terms of reliability index.
机译:本文审查了本厂5500守则,用于设计外部加压轴对称环形加强圆柱体的规定,以及可用的实验数据和有限元非线性分析结果,数量与各种故障模式相关的模型不确定因素和携带提供可靠性分析。可靠性分析包括先进的第一订单第二矩法(AFOSM),并且还使用其他方法进行检查,例如二阶可靠性方法(SORM),定向仿真和蒙特卡罗模拟,以确认精度。发现这些方法之间的差异如此之小,使得从AFOSM获得的值在实践中是可接受的。根据具有各种直径和不同潜水深度的BS 5500设计了各种潜水柱型结构。敏感性分析证实了重要的设计变量,以便在建立设计代码格式时,只能考虑这些变量。模型不确定因子非常敏感,建立了对各种故障模式的影响。框架的超越是在施工期间仔细的形状测量和分析所识别的重要控制。该参数的效果是在可靠性指标方面建立的。

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