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Wind speed forecasting using spatio-temporal indicators

机译:使用时空指标的风速预测

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From small farms to electricity markets the interest and importance of wind power production is continuously increasing. This interest is mainly caused by the fact that wind is a continuous resource of clean energy. To take full advantage of the potential of wind power production it is crucial to have tools that accurately forecast the expected wind speed. However, forecasting the wind speed is not a trivial task. Wind speed is characterised by a random behaviour as well as several other intermittent characteristics. This paper proposes a new approach to the task of wind speed forecasting. The main distinguishing feature of this proposal is its reliance on both temporal and spatial characteristics to produce a forecast of the future wind speed. We have experimentally tested the proposed method with historical data concerning wind speed on the eastern region of the US. Nevertheless, the methodology that is described in the paper can be seen as a general approach to spatio-temporal prediction. We have compared our proposal to other standard approaches in the task of forecasting 2 hours ahead wind speed. Our extensive experiments show that our proposal has clear advantages in most setups.
机译:从小型农场到电力市场,风力发电的兴趣和重要性不断增加。这种兴趣主要是由于风是清洁能源的连续资源。为了充分利用风力发电的潜力,具有准确预测预期风速的工具至关重要。但是,预测风速不是一个微不足道的任务。风速的特征在于随机行为以及其他几种间歇特征。本文提出了一种新的风速预测任务方法。该提议的主要区别特征是依赖于时间和空间特征,以产生未来风速的预测。我们已经通过实验测试了拟议的方法,其中包含了关于美国东部地区的风速的历史数据。然而,本文中描述的方法可以被视为一种普遍的时空预测方法。我们将我们的提案与其他标准方法进行了预测,以预测2小时的风速。我们广泛的实验表明,我们的建议在大多数设置中具有明显的优势。

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