Aircraft spares consumption prediction based on combined forecasting method

摘要

According to the problem in the work of the application and order of Spares, propose to found a prediction model based on the combined forecasting method, comprehensively utilizing the linear exponential smoothing, secondary exponential smoothing and cubic exponential smoothing to optimize the results of these three methods, solved it by the nonlinear programming method. The prediction results show that the model predicts accurately, with high utility and promotion value.