Option Effectiveness in Conflict Resolution

摘要

An extension of the Graph Model for Conflict Resolution (GMCR) is proposed to permit the investigation of a conflict model at the option level. The novel approach presented in this paper allows the computation of equilibrium strength and the calculation of option effectiveness in the GMCR model. The approach provides analysts with a better understanding of the options available to the decision makers (DMs) and permits the ranking of options in terms of their effectiveness. The information gained by utilizing this approach will help the DMs in ending disputes according to their preferred scenarios by selecting the options that are effective for them. As a means to evaluate this method, it is applied to a model of the conflict between China and the United States over global trade agreements.