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A Monte Carlo Simulation for Evaluating Airborne Collision Risk in Intersecting Runways

机译:评估相交跑道中空降碰撞风险的蒙特卡洛模拟

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The Intersecting Operations simulation model was developed to derive a set of separation standards for converging or intersecting runway operations to statistically mitigate airborne collision risk.This simulation incorporates synthetic trajectory models that capture both the variability of observed flight trajectories and the effects of environmental parameters. Through repeated Monte Carlo trials, the simulation derives the relationship between a given spacing metric and the relative likelihood of an airborne collision. An analyst may use this method to develop a strategy that mitigates unacceptable risk by ensuring that aircraft avoid situations more likely to result in a midair collision.
机译:``相交运行''仿真模型的开发旨在得出一套汇合或相交跑道运行的分离标准,以从统计角度减轻空中碰撞风险。该仿真结合了综合轨迹模型,该模型既捕获了观测到的飞行轨迹的可变性,又捕获了环境参数的影响。通过反复的蒙特卡洛试验,模拟得出了给定的距离度量与机载碰撞的相对可能性之间的关系。分析人员可以使用这种方法来制定策略,以确保飞机避免更可能导致空中碰撞的情况,从而减轻不可接受的风险。

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