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Robust Regression Under Asymmetric or/and Non- Constant Variance Error by Simultaneously Training Conditional Quantiles

机译:通过同时培训条件量级的不对称或/和非恒定方差误差下的强大回归

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We consider regression problems under asymmetric or/and non-constant variance error. We see this problem in several fields such as insurance premium estimation, medical cost analysis, etc. Applying the method of Least Squares (LS) to this problem yields unstable solution because of outliers that appears on one side of regression surfaces. Conventional robust techniques to deal with outliers, which intend to discard or down-weight the outliers equally from both sides of regression surfaces, does not help for asymmetric error. In this paper, we propose an robust regression estimator (an estimator of the conditional mean) under asymmetric or/and non-constant variance error by simultaneously training conditional quantiles in multi-layer perceptron (MLP). This is considered as a kind of learning from hint or multitask learning approach, i.e. we train the conditional quantile estimator as hints or extra tasks to improve generalization properties of the conditional mean estimator. Numerical experiments and an application to medical cost estimation problem have shown that our proposal has robustness and good generalization properties.
机译:我们考虑不对称或/和非恒定方差误差下的回归问题。我们在诸如保险费估计,医疗成本分析等的几个领域中看到了这个问题。应用最小二乘(LS)的方法,因为出现回归表面的一侧上出现的异常值,产生不稳定的解决方案。传统的鲁棒技术,用于处理异常值,该技术打算从回归表面的两侧丢弃或卸下异常值,对不对称误差不有帮助。在本文中,我们在不对称的或/和非恒定方差误差下提出了一种强大的回归估计器(条件平均值的估计器),通过同时训练多层的Perceptron(MLP)中的条件定量。这被认为是一种从提示或多任务学习方法的学习,即我们将条件分位数估计器培训为提示或额外任务,以改善条件平均估计器的泛化特性。对医疗成本估算问题的数值实验及其应用表明,我们的建议具有鲁棒性和良好的概率性质。

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