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Feature extraction using Restricted Boltzmann Machine for stock price prediction

机译:使用受限玻尔兹曼机进行特征提取以预测股价

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摘要

Recently, many different types of artificial neural networks (ANNs) have been applied to forecast stock price and good performance is obtained. However, most of these models use only a small number of features as input and there may not be enough information to make prediction due to the complexity of stock market. If having a larger number of features, the run time of training would be increased and the generalization performance would be deteriorated due to the curse of dimension. Therefore, an effective tool to extract highly discriminative low-dimensional features from the high-dimensional raw input would be a great help in improving the generalization performance of the regression model. Restricted Boltzmann Machine (RBM) is a new type of machine learning tool with strong power of representation, which has been utilized as the feature extractor in a large variety of classification problems. In this paper, we use the RBM to extract discriminative low-dimensional features from raw data with dimension up to 324, and then use the extracted features as the input of Support Vector Machine (SVM) for regression. Experimental results indicate that our approach for stock price prediction has great improvement in terms of low forecasting errors compared with SVM using raw data.
机译:最近,许多不同类型的人工神经网络(ANN)已被用于预测股票价格并获得了良好的性能。但是,大多数这些模型仅使用少量特征作为输入,并且由于股票市场的复杂性,可能没有足够的信息来进行预测。如果具有大量特征,则由于维数的诅咒,训练的运行时间将增加,并且泛化性能将下降。因此,从高维原始输入中提取高判别性低维特征的有效工具将对改善回归模型的泛化性能有很大帮助。受限玻尔兹曼机(RBM)是一种新型的具有强大表示能力的机器学习工具,已被用作各种分类问题中的特征提取器。在本文中,我们使用RBM从原始数据中提取可区分的低维特征,最大维数为324,然后将提取的特征用作支持向量机(SVM)的输入以进行回归。实验结果表明,与使用原始数据的SVM相比,我们的股票价格预测方法在较低的预测误差方面有很大的改进。

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