Bayesian Decision Support for Military Command and Control

摘要

The military Command and Control (C2) is a complicated decision process,which takes on uncertainty and complexity.Bayesian Networks (BNs) provide a framework for the C2 system in which to deal with the problems combining the experts'1 knowledge structure and specific data;and Influence Diagrams can be used to analysis the feasibility of some decisions as the extension of BNs.Furthermore,in order to decrease the amount of assigned conditional probabilities and introduce the concept of timevarying,Dynamic Influence Networks is proposed to be used as a new method of knowledge elicitation.