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Water Supply Policy considering Climate Change in the Han River Basin, South Korea

机译:考虑汉江流域气候变化的供水政策

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摘要

The sustainable development of water resources has been an important issue particularly under the condition of global warming. The future temperature and the amount of rainfall have to be considered when the future water supply policy is determined. In this paper, the future water supply policy is evaluated using the future predicted rainfall. The forecasted total amount of rainfall in year 2100 has not been changed much from the assessment of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in 2008, but the monthly pattern in the Han River Basin, South Korea has been shifted significantly. Historically, Korea has had the high rainfall during the summer and the spring has experienced drought often. The different rainfall pattern should lead the different reservoir operation policy to supply enough water to users and prevent flood and drought. The water supply system developed using system dynamics approach simulated the different water supply policies under the climate change scenarios. As the results, the reservoir operation has to be changed to prevent flood in spring and drought in winter.
机译:水资源的可持续发展一直是一个重要的问题,特别是在全球变暖条件下。当确定未来的供水政策时,必须考虑未来的温度和降雨量。在本文中,使用未来预测降雨评估未来的供水政策。预测2100年的降雨量从2008年对政府间气候变化小组的评估没有变化,但韩国韩国汉江流域的月度模式已经大幅转移。从历史上看,韩国在夏季度过了降雨量,春天经常经历过旱灾。不同的降雨模式应引领不同的水库运营政策,为用户提供足够的水并防止洪水和干旱。利用系统动力学方法开发的供水系统模拟了气候变化方案下的不同供水政策。结果,水库操作必须改变,以防止春季洪水和冬季干旱。

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