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Macroscopic Forecasting on Chinese Civil Aviation Transportation Market

机译:中国民航运输市场的宏观预测

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摘要

Three methods are used to forecast the Chinese Civil Aviation Transportation Market over the next 20 years, namely international and domestic comparison, elastic coefficient method, and the regression method. The results show average annual growth rates, reasonable waving Intervals and the prediction values of the total transport turnover volume, the passenger traffic turnover volume, and freighter traffic turnover volume between 2008 and 2027. In addition, the results also tell about the elastic coefficient between the three turnover volumes and the GDP and GDP per capita. This forecast provides some scientific basis for decision making.
机译:国际,国内比较,弹性系数法和回归法是未来20年中国民航运输市场预测的三种方法。结果表明,2008年至2027年之间的年均增长率,合理的波动间隔以及总运输周转量,客运周转量和货机周转量的预测值。此外,结果还表明了两者之间的弹性系数。三个营业额以及GDP和人均GDP。该预测为决策提供了一些科学依据。

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