An Empirical Analysis of Macroeconomic Fluctuation and Industry Construction Change

摘要

Macroeconomic fluctuation and industrial structure are closely related in that adjustment of the latter will definitely trigger the former. However, inner structures and operating modes of all major industries are quite different, so they make different contributions to macro economic fluctuation. The results of quantitative economic analysis indicate that the secondary and the primary industries make the maximum contribution to macro economic fluctuation. But the primary industry plays a statistically more significant role, while there is not a cause-and-effect relations hip between the change of the tertiary industry and macro economic fluctuation. The latter is not the fundamental reason for the adjustment of industrial structure.