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Emergency Decision-making Patterns Research Based On Dynamic Game of Incomplete Information

机译:基于不完全信息动态博弈的应急决策模式研究

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An important property of emergency management is that the crisis manager should adjust his strategies dynamically along with the increasing information and previous activities. This paper studies how to deal with the crisis effectively along with the increasing information and previous activities after the crisis occurred. The authors analyze the dynamic treatment process of the crisis and build a dynamic crisis countermeasures model. So we can suppose that crisis countermeasures process is a dynamic game process with incomplete information between "crisis manager" and "crisis". Then we analyze the dynamics decision-making patterns of crisis countermeasures and propose a crisis decision-making method for crisis managers. Finally, we illustrate the application of this decision-making method through the case of earthquake rescue.
机译:紧急管理的重要属性是危机经理应与日益增长的信息和以前的活动一起调整他的策略。本文研究如何在危机发生后,有效地处理危机以及以前的信息和以前的活动。作者分析了危机的动态治疗过程,建立了一种动态危机对策模型。因此,我们可以假设危机对策过程是一个动态游戏过程,在“危机经理”和“危机”之间存在不完整的信息。然后,我们分析了危机对策的动态决策模式,提出了危机管理人员的危机决策方法。最后,我们通过地震救援的情况说明了这种决策方法的应用。

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