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Developing a Model of Driver's Uncertainty in Lane Change Situations for Trustworthy Lane Change Decision Aid Systems

机译:驾驶员不确定性在信赖巷改变决策辅助系统中制定驾驶员不确定性模型

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Inspired by the "emancipation" theory of trust, this paper proposes to develop driver's trust in assistance systems based on the assumption that driver's appropriate trust in these systems can be built, when the support of assistance systems is adapted to the drivers' uncertainty state and helps reducing their uncertainty. For example, a trustworthy lane change assistance system is supposed to provide support to the driver during a lane change maneuver by adapting to the state of the driver's uncertainty about distance gaps and closing speeds in respect to the surrounding traffic. The precondition for such a system is a model of driver's uncertainty, which can be used to recognize driver's uncertainty states in lane change situations. This paper mainly presents the development of a probabilistic model for classifying driver's uncertainty in lane change situations. Using experimental data obtained in a simulator experiment, we considered three Bayesian networks: a naive Bayesian classifier, a Tree-Augmented-Naive Bayesian classifier, and a fully connected Bayesian Network. Based on the Bayesian Information Criterion and Accuracy metrics, the Tree-Augmented Naive Bayesian classifier was chosen to predict driver's uncertainty in lane change situations.
机译:受到“解放”的信任理论,本文提出基于驾驶员对援助系统的支持适应驾驶员的不确定性状态和有助于减少他们的不确定性。例如,可信赖的车道改变辅助系统应该通过适应驾驶员的不确定性关于距离间隙的不确定性以及关于周围的交通的关闭速度的状态来为驾驶员提供支持。这种系统的前提条件是驾驶员不确定性的模型,可用于识别车道改变情况下的驾驶员的不确定性状态。本文主要介绍了在车道变革情况下对驾驶员不确定性进行分类的概率模型的发展。使用在模拟器实验中获得的实验数据,我们考虑了三个贝叶斯网络:一个天真的贝叶斯分类器,树增强天真的贝叶斯分类器和完全连接的贝叶斯网络。基于贝叶斯信息标准和准确度指标,选择了树增强的天真贝叶斯分类器,以预测驾驶员在车道改变情况下的不确定性。

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