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Agent-based modeling for household level hurricane evacuation

机译:基于代理的家庭级飓风疏散建模

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In this paper, we present an agent-based model for hurricane evacuation which captures the interactions among evacuees during the evacuation process. Both normal and greedy household agents are considered. The normal agents simply follow the shortest route toward their destinations regardless of the congestion on each route segment. The greedy agents on the other hand make choices between the shortest route and the least congested route according to a certain probabilistic rule, taking into account the evolving network conditions. In the experiments, we simulate different scenarios on a test network and present the results and analysis. The simulation results indicate that greedy agents can sometimes reduce the individual evacuation times by detouring and avoiding congestions, but the greedy behavior makes the whole evacuation inefficient.
机译:在本文中,我们提出了一种基于代理的飓风撤离模型,该模型捕获了撤离过程中撤离人员之间的相互作用。普通和贪婪的家庭代理都被考虑在内。无论每个路由段上的拥塞情况如何,普通代理都只会沿着最短的路线到达目的地。另一方面,贪婪的代理根据一定的概率规则在最短路径和最不拥塞的路径之间进行选择,同时考虑到不断发展的网络条件。在实验中,我们在测试网络上模拟不同的场景,并给出结果和分析。仿真结果表明,贪婪的代理有时可以通过绕行和避免拥堵来减少单个疏散时间,但是贪婪的行为使整个疏散效率低下。

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