To Forecast The Investment In The Treatment Of The Environmental Pollution Of China By GM (1,1)

摘要

The environmental problem is one of the focus problems in the process of the development of society and economy in our country. The treatment of environmental pollution is an effectual way to solve the current environmental pollution in our country. However, the lack of the investment in the treatment of environment pollution becomes the “bottleneck” of the environmental protection in our country. As there is a huge gap on the investment in the treatment of environmental pollution account for GDP between our country and the foreign countries, how many years the level of the investment in the treatment of environmental pollution account for GDP can reach 2%, which is the critical point level to alleviate the environmental degeneration, should be concerned. We establish gray model GM (1, 1) to forecast it based on the history data in the last several years, and get that it will need ten years, and conclude that we must enlarge the investment in the environment treatment. At the same time, we forecast the development trend of the proportions of three important parts in the treatment of environmental pollution by GM (1, 1) and find out that the investment in the t reatment of I ndustrial p ollution will be the main investment of the treatment of environmental pollution in the future years.