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Importance Sampling over Sets: A New Probabilistic Inference Scheme

机译:集上的重要性抽样:一种新的概率推理方案

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Computing expectations in high-dimensional spaces is a key challenge in probabilistic inference and machine learning. Monte Carlo sampling, and importance sampling in particular, is one of the leading approaches. We propose a generalized importance sampling scheme based on randomly selecting (exponentially large) subsets of states rather than individual ones. By collecting a small number of extreme states in the sampled sets, we obtain estimates of statistics of interest, such as the partition function of an undirected graphical model. We incorporate this idea into a novel maximum likelihood learning algorithm based on cutting planes. We demonstrate empirically that our scheme provides accurate answers and scales to problems with up to a million variables.
机译:在高维空间中计算期望值是概率推理和机器学习中的关键挑战。蒙特卡洛采样,尤其是重要性采样,是领先的方法之一。我们提出了一种基于重要性的随机抽样(指数大)子集而不是单个子集的广义重要性抽样方案。通过在采样集中收集少量的极端状态,我们可以获得感兴趣的统计信息的估计,例如无向图形模型的分区函数。我们将此思想纳入基于切割平面的新型最大似然学习算法中。我们凭经验证明,我们的方案可以为多达100万个变量的问题提供准确的答案并进行扩展。

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