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Interdependent Security Games Under Behavioral Probability Weighting

机译:行为概率加权下的相互依赖安全博弈

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We consider a class of interdependent security games where the security risk experienced by a player depends on her own investment in security as well as the investments of other players. In contrast to much of the existing work that considers risk neutral players in such games, we investigate the impacts of behavioral probability weighting by players while making security investment decisions. This weighting captures the transformation of objective probabilities into perceived probabilities, which influence the decisions of individuals in uncertain environments. We show that the Nash equilibria that arise after incorporating probability weightings have much richer structural properties and equilibrium risk profiles than in risk neutral environments. We provide comprehensive discussions of these effects on the properties of equilibria and the social optimum when the players have homogeneous weighting parameters, including comparative statics results. We further characterize the existence and uniqueness of pure Nash equilibria in Total Effort games with heterogeneous players.
机译:我们考虑一类相互依赖的安全游戏,其中玩家所经历的安全风险取决于她自己在安全方面的投资以及其他玩家的投资。与在此类游戏中考虑风险中性玩家的许多现有工作形成对比,我们研究了玩家在做出安全投资决策时对行为概率加权的影响。该权重捕获了客观概率到感知概率的转换,这会影响不确定环境中个人的决策。我们表明,与概率中性环境相比,合并概率权重后产生的纳什均衡具有更丰富的结构特性和均衡风险特征。当参与者具有均等的权重参数(包括比较静态结果)时,我们将全面讨论这些对均衡属性和社会最优性的影响。我们进一步描述了具有异类玩家的“全力以赴”游戏中纯纳什均衡的存在和唯一性。

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